Homepage / Investment / Bull market tests nerves on Wall Street
Find your perfect match: older women looking for young men Qu’est-ce que c’est exactement Perdu dans Rencontres en ligne : Persistance what’s gay cam chat? Бонусы в игровых автоматах 7к – особенности Personne copain Finder vs Friend Finder X: Site de rencontre examen pour 2020 8 Fabulously Gay-Friendly & Gay Resorts In Tx To Test In Your Next Gaycation! Лучшие тайтлы онлайн казино леон: топ новинок Picking a gaming platform 7Slots in the virtual space for real cash gaming: essential characteristics Meet other lesbianas and discover your perfect match Аркада Казино (Arkada Casino) Игровой Онлайн Клуб How To Locate The Very Best Transgender Online Dating Sites – Hookup Guide Find your perfect match: bi ladies seeking couples SLOT PULSA SITUS SLOT DEPOSIT PULSA 10 RIBU TANPA POTONGAN SEKALI SPIN MAXWIN Sports Betting Bet on Sports Online in South Africa Slot Entertainment Without Funding an Account in a Trusted Virtual Club Составление обзора казино в виртуальном формате Le Jeu en Ligne en France: Casinos en Ligne et leur Rфle dans l’Industrie Moderne des Jeux d’Argent Mostbet App A Convenient And Reliable Way To Place Bets Masjid Al-Huda Mranggen Demak Lemon Casino recenzja nowego polskiego kasyna Atrakcyjne bonusy i wysoki RTP! MostBet Bangladesh BD ᐉ Official Site Most Bet Casino and Sport Betting Lil Nas X calls out the BET Awards in his new single He has a point : NPR Most readily useful Adult Internet Dating Sites | FreeHookupsSites Unlocking the secrets of craigslist m4m green bay dating Just what comes in 66 sizes and vegan latex? Brand new generation of condoms | Sex | 8 Brands & Generics Human Growth Hormone HGH Injections Find local black hookups near you what’s ssbbw chat? About Japanese Dating society and also the west Guy who would like to Date a Japanese woman – MeetKing Blog 9 Guidelines On How To Hook-up On College Gameday (At Any College) Leading Live Casino Games Provider Leading Live Casino Games Provider Pin Up Slotlarýyla Eðlence ve Para Kazanma Bir Arada The core concept of digital entertainment hub AbeBet: signature points and groups Live-сессии с дилерами в онлайн-казино azino777 How Online Gambling Enterprises Operate Around the World Meet compatible single mothers and exchange ideas official site Play airplane online Ritalin: Jak legálně zakoupit bez receptu v České republice Connect with suitable asian singles in your area How-to Date A Pornstar While Making It Operate (The Ultimate Guide) Buy Bitcoin with Credit Card or Debit Card Instantly Buy Bitcoin How to buy BTC Finding trans girls near you – the simplest way to hookup Connect with like-minded singles on a mennonite dating website Assortment of in-demand games respected casino platform abe bet casino in cyberspace Connect with girls from round the world Alexander Gambling establishment: Dйcouvrez une Nouvelle Expйrience de Jeu en Ligne Le meilleur Extra casino en ligne pour jouer BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING The simplest way to get a local hookup what’s millionairess dating? Get prepared to connect to latinas whom share your interests Estonian Chat place – an ideal Place for Dating Estonian Singles Join our bisexual chat room now and commence connecting Discover the advantages of dating a mature mom latina How to discover the best bbw hookup app for you Title: Juega en 1Win Casino Argentina Bonos y Apuestas 5 Best BBW Lesbian Dating Apps/Sites In 2022 Online Gambling Review submissions dia govt.nz Разыгрываемые джекпоты в виртуальном клубе Вулкан казино 30 Of The Greatest Adult Sex Toys For Males | Men’s Room Health Mag Australian Continent Cazino 7 slots cyberspace: conditions and rules for betting with real cash 1Win: ¡el mejor lugar de casino y apuestas deportivas de Argentina! Aufcasino Kde zakoupit Stromectol online: Kompletní průvodce ????Mature Dating Evaluation 2023 – Whatever You Need To Know About It! ???? Take the first step towards fulfilling your ebony lesbian bbw match now Ideas on how to come-out: Tips to keep in mind > Taimi Meet your perfect match – granny hookup site Türkiye-Çin İşbirliği Derinleşiyor GuGi Mobil Yükleme Seçenekleri Hizmet İçi Eğitim Sona Erdi Dooball tv ดูบอล ออนไลน์ สด 66 ลิงค์ บนมือถือ ฟรี ภาพชัด HD ทั่วโลก Find your rich cougar date in the most useful dating site Find your dream fat girl hookup today Slot Thailand Daftar Link Situs Slot Gacor Maxwin x500 Terbaru Hari Ini Resmi Auto Jackpot! Konsultasi ke Dewan Pers, Komisi I DPRD Jambi Pertanyakan Indeks Kemerdekaan Pers Jambi yang Turun Akses News Cerita Korban Judol di Balikpapan yang Nekat Gelapkan Uang How to get local horney women in your area 3 Cara Hapus Akun Judi Online Slot : Okezone Economy SITUS TOTO > Sering Kalah Main Di Situs Slot Gacor Terbaru Mudah Maxwin Situs Slot Gacor Maxwin Main Tanpa Pola Modal 5ribu Terbaik Melhores cassinos online de Novembro 2024: Confira o top 10! Enjoy amazing gay sex experiences using the top sites on the web Make the absolute most of one’s big butt dating adventure here 9 circumstances this means when a person avoids eye contact with a lady – Hack Spirit Top Greatest M4M Personals Sites in 2022 ◉ BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING Лотерейные розыгрыши в kasino on-line Лев казино: условия осуществления и доступа Main features of playing in machines at online-club Karavan Connect with like-minded females making new friends Comment accéder à des jeux gratuits avec Space fortuna bonus ? PUCUK4D⭐ Bandar Toto Togel Online & Situs Toto 4d Terpercaya #1 Betting site Karavan bet Gates of Olympus internet-based: benefits of playing for real money

Investment

Bull market tests nerves on Wall Street

One day in September, investors with fading summer tans mingled with their brokers over a three-course lunch at Cipriani in Lower Manhattan. Stocks were soaring and they swapped market tips and touted apps that allowed them to buy Bitcoin on the golf course.

But the full stomachs and fat portfolios couldn’t mask a sense of unease that pervaded the gathering: that the good times could suddenly end, derailed by nuclear war, political upheaval, a sudden rise in inflation or simply from stratospheric stocks crashing down to earth.

”Investors have never felt less secure, even though we are eight years into a bull market,” Mark H. Haefele, the chief investment officer in the wealth management division at the investment bank UBS, told the crowd.

Rarely has a bull market been so unloved. Since March 2009, the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index has nearly quadrupled in value. This year, not only is the index up 15 percent, but it also seems to have stopped going down at all: October was the 12th straight month that the S.&P. has logged a positive return, the first time that has happened since 1935.

Yet in most conversations about the ever-rising stock market, brokers and investment advisers say, are dominated by the question of when it will all come to an end.

With the exception of President Trump, of course. On Saturday, in an interview on Air Force One, he once again took credit for the market’s most recent record close on Friday.

Generally, this far into a bull market, euphoria kicks in. In 1929, shoeshine boys were doling out stock tips. In 1999, people were quitting their jobs to trade technology stocks from their living rooms.

These days, each successive stock market record seems to spur more hand-wringing than cheerleading. There is anxiety about overhyped shares, about the possibility of central banks withdrawing their support for global economies, even about markets simply being worryingly quiescent, as evidenced by the historically low readings of the volatility index known as the VIX.

”The VIX is too low, valuations are too high, the recovery is too old and the Fed is tightening,” said Jim Paulsen, a veteran market strategist for the Leuthold Group in Minnesota. ”For an old market dude like me, that is a scary list.”

More from the New York Times:
Wall St. versus the customer
Why it’s too soon to predict what tax changes will mean
GOP plan delivers permanent corporate tax cut

For several years now, Mr. Paulsen has been pleading with his clients to embrace the bull market. He has touted the breadth of the surge, in which no single sector has dramatically outrun another on the way up. And he has argued that worldwide growth with little inflation represents an unusual buying opportunity.

When he meets with clients or presents his views at conferences, though, the vast majority of the questions he receives are about what will ultimately bring the market crashing down.

”No one ever asks me when the S.&P. is going to blow past 3,000,” he said of the benchmark stock index which ended trading on Friday at 2,587.84.

In fact, many analysts say that this so-called wall of worry is a positive sign. Investors may be piling into stocks and bonds, the thinking goes, but they are doing it with a measure of hesitation, which prevents some of the excesses that preceded previous market corrections.

That is not to say the market is without froth.

Since early 2009, the market capitalizations of Amazon and Apple, have soared from $26 billion and $74 billion to $532 billion and $872 billion.

The surge in the price of Bitcoin strikes many observers, including the billionaire investor Warren Buffett, as a classic portent of a bubble ready to pop.

Nor are many skeptics comforted by the fact that a former logistics manager at a Target store has made millions of dollars betting that the VIX index, Wall Street’s closely watched fear gauge, will continue to fall.

These are not exactly the hallmarks of a restrained market.

To a large extent, the main drivers of the bull market have been sophisticated investors. Cash holdings by institutions and high-net-worth investors are at record low levels, which means they have been plowing money into the markets, according to numerous surveys.

Many retail investors, though, have remained on the sidelines — a sharp contrast to the activity that preceded the bursting of previous bubbles.

According to Charles Schwab, which oversees $3.1 trillion in retail investments, the cash portion of client accounts was 11.1 percent as of September. That is down from 13 percent at the end of last year, but it is still a sizable ratio, which suggests that investors are not dumping their entire savings into the stock market, at least for now.

Liz Ann Sonders, the chief investment strategist for Schwab, said that until just recently, investors have been highly skeptical that the market’s bull run was justified. However, in the last month or so, she has noticed a change in sentiment at client meetings and investor events.

”Some investors are conceding it’s a bull market,” she said. ”They are looking for approval to jump on the bandwagon.”

Still, she points out, retail investors have nowhere near the commitment to stocks that characterized past stock market booms.

Richard Bernstein, a former equity strategist at Merrill Lynch who now runs his own investment firm, has been bullish on stocks since 2009. He said that by this point of a strong equity run, buying stocks traditionally becomes widely accepted by all investor classes — the consequence of one outstanding stock market year following another. Nobody wants to hear their neighbors boasting about their sizzling portfolios without having their own good news to share.

That is not the case this time. According to Mr. Bernstein, Wall Street experts on average advise investors to put 55 percent of their portfolios into stocks, as opposed to other assets such as bonds. That is considerably more conservative than the traditional recommendation that investors have up to 65 percent in stocks.

More from Smart Investing:
Investors with $1M in market reach bullish peak
People, companies piling on debt: IMF
Only major shock could upset bull market: El-Erian

And many pension funds, instead of investing in the stock market, are putting money into private-equity investments, even though they incur hefty fees and their money generally gets locked up for 10 years.

”This is crazy,” Mr. Bernstein said. ”So when people say there is euphoria in the market and people are getting carried away, I say, ‘who are we talking about?”’

Late last month, at an investor panel sponsored by the fund company Eaton Vance, Mr. Bernstein cited the rising South Korean stock market in arguing that fears of nuclear war were overblown and should not be used as an excuse for investors to avoid putting their money into stocks.

As usual, the pushback was quick in coming.

What happens if war breaks out in the Korean Peninsula, a member of the audience asked him. Wasn’t he ignoring that possibility?

Mr. Bernstein argued that investors should care the economic and corporate fundamentals — not the remote chance that a calamity will strike.

”You cannot invest successfully,” he said, ”when you are crouched under your desk in a fetal position.”

Source: Investment Cnbc
Bull market tests nerves on Wall Street

Comments are closed.