Homepage / Currency / 'This economy will slow' in mid-2019 or 2020: J.P. Morgan strategist
8 Brands & Generics Human Growth Hormone HGH Injections Find local black hookups near you what’s ssbbw chat? About Japanese Dating society and also the west Guy who would like to Date a Japanese woman – MeetKing Blog 9 Guidelines On How To Hook-up On College Gameday (At Any College) Leading Live Casino Games Provider Leading Live Casino Games Provider Pin Up Slotlarýyla Eðlence ve Para Kazanma Bir Arada The core concept of digital entertainment hub AbeBet: signature points and groups Live-сессии с дилерами в онлайн-казино azino777 How Online Gambling Enterprises Operate Around the World Meet compatible single mothers and exchange ideas official site Play airplane online Ritalin: Jak legálně zakoupit bez receptu v České republice Connect with suitable asian singles in your area How-to Date A Pornstar While Making It Operate (The Ultimate Guide) Buy Bitcoin with Credit Card or Debit Card Instantly Buy Bitcoin How to buy BTC Finding trans girls near you – the simplest way to hookup Connect with like-minded singles on a mennonite dating website Assortment of in-demand games respected casino platform abe bet casino in cyberspace Connect with girls from round the world Alexander Gambling establishment: Dйcouvrez une Nouvelle Expйrience de Jeu en Ligne Le meilleur Extra casino en ligne pour jouer BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING The simplest way to get a local hookup what’s millionairess dating? Get prepared to connect to latinas whom share your interests Estonian Chat place – an ideal Place for Dating Estonian Singles Join our bisexual chat room now and commence connecting Discover the advantages of dating a mature mom latina How to discover the best bbw hookup app for you Title: Juega en 1Win Casino Argentina Bonos y Apuestas 5 Best BBW Lesbian Dating Apps/Sites In 2022 Online Gambling Review submissions dia govt.nz Разыгрываемые джекпоты в виртуальном клубе Вулкан казино 30 Of The Greatest Adult Sex Toys For Males | Men’s Room Health Mag Australian Continent Cazino 7 slots cyberspace: conditions and rules for betting with real cash 1Win: ¡el mejor lugar de casino y apuestas deportivas de Argentina! Aufcasino ????Mature Dating Evaluation 2023 – Whatever You Need To Know About It! ???? Take the first step towards fulfilling your ebony lesbian bbw match now Ideas on how to come-out: Tips to keep in mind > Taimi Meet your perfect match – granny hookup site Türkiye-Çin İşbirliği Derinleşiyor GuGi Mobil Yükleme Seçenekleri Hizmet İçi Eğitim Sona Erdi Dooball tv ดูบอล ออนไลน์ สด 66 ลิงค์ บนมือถือ ฟรี ภาพชัด HD ทั่วโลก Find your rich cougar date in the most useful dating site Find your dream fat girl hookup today Slot Thailand Daftar Link Situs Slot Gacor Maxwin x500 Terbaru Hari Ini Resmi Auto Jackpot! Konsultasi ke Dewan Pers, Komisi I DPRD Jambi Pertanyakan Indeks Kemerdekaan Pers Jambi yang Turun Akses News Cerita Korban Judol di Balikpapan yang Nekat Gelapkan Uang How to get local horney women in your area 3 Cara Hapus Akun Judi Online Slot : Okezone Economy SITUS TOTO > Sering Kalah Main Di Situs Slot Gacor Terbaru Mudah Maxwin Situs Slot Gacor Maxwin Main Tanpa Pola Modal 5ribu Terbaik Melhores cassinos online de Novembro 2024: Confira o top 10! Enjoy amazing gay sex experiences using the top sites on the web Make the absolute most of one’s big butt dating adventure here 9 circumstances this means when a person avoids eye contact with a lady – Hack Spirit Top Greatest M4M Personals Sites in 2022 ◉ BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING Лотерейные розыгрыши в kasino on-line Лев казино: условия осуществления и доступа Main features of playing in machines at online-club Karavan Connect with like-minded females making new friends Comment accéder à des jeux gratuits avec Space fortuna bonus ? PUCUK4D⭐ Bandar Toto Togel Online & Situs Toto 4d Terpercaya #1 Betting site Karavan bet Gates of Olympus internet-based: benefits of playing for real money Discover an environment of opportunities with lesbian and bisexual dating Aprovecha Los Códigos Promocionales De Bbrbet ¡más Bonos, Más Juegos 1xbet Giriş Yeni Adresi 2024 ⭐️ 1xbahis Güncel Adres » 1x Guess Mobil Casino How to get started with sext room BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING La Application De Bbrbet: Juegos Y Apuestas Approach Alcance De Tu Man Start your love story now – join our talk to gay strangers source today BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING Find regional bbw hookups inside area BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING Mobile Casinos: The Ultimate Guide When to Take Cranberry Tablets: Morning or Evening? Online Slots Best Payout: A Comprehensive Overview for Gamblers No Download Casinos: The Ultimate Guide to Instant Play Video Gaming The Carnivore Diet Plan: A Comprehensive Guide to a Questionable Eating Plan What is CBD Lotion Used For? What are Free Penny Slot Machines? What Do Water Tablets Do: A Comprehensive Overview Online Casinos PayPal: Just How to Wager Safely and Firmly

Currency

'This economy will slow' in mid-2019 or 2020: J.P. Morgan strategist

The party might be over soon for the 9-year-long bull market, J.P. Morgan strategist David Kelly told CNBC.

“This economy will slow [in the] second half of 2019, 2020,” Kelly, who is chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said Wednesday on “Power Lunch.”

After President Donald Trump signed into law the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 last December — slashing the corporate tax rate nearly in half — rising economic activity seemed to have no end in sight.

“Fiscal policy is sort of at its maximum accelerated right now,” Kelly said.

In fact, unemployment rates have fallen to an 18-year historic low of 3.8 percent, and U.S. nonfarm payrolls added 223,000 — far more than economists anticipated — during the last jobs report in May.

Even escalating trade tensions and higher oil prices haven’t stopped the Dow Jones industrial average, a major indicator of economic activity, from setting record highs, now holding steady above the 25,000 mark.

But Kelly said these effects are “probably temporary.”

“We got all this sugar rush of fiscal stimulus right now,” he said. “But it’s a sugar rush.”

While Kelly said present earnings are “wonderful,” he also said his firm does not expect continued earnings growth.

Investors, he said, “appreciate just how much money companies are making this year. I just think we really need to recognize that the earnings are being front-loaded here.”

He pointed out that equity investing is “all about future earnings growth.”

“Right now the U.S. is leading the world,” he said.

But, he said, “When the rest of the world catches up, I expect international stocks to outperform U.S. stocks over the next few years.”

On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced a rate hike of its benchmark short-term interest rate a quarter percentage point to a new range of 1.75 percent to 2 percent. The bank also indicated that further rate hikes will likely be ahead for a total of four rate hikes this year, compared with three rate hikes in the prior 12-month period.

The central bank’s rate hikes have long been viewed as a way for the Fed to slow economic growth before the economy overheats.

Kelly said the rate hikes are a positive sign and that it is important for the Fed to get the economy “back to neutral pretty fast” so it doesn’t overheat.

“But we don’t want to be too aggressive here because we know monetary policy works with a lag,” he said.

Inflation is another key ingredient in recessions. While fewer people out of work is a good thing, it also means companies have higher payroll expenses. That often leads to companies raising prices. More rate hikes could lead to inflation.

During Wednesday’s Fed announcement, the committee indicated that core inflation should reach the Fed’s 2 percent target by the end of the year.

On “Closing Bell” Wednesday, former Wells Fargo CEO Richard Kovacevich said, “the Fed’s obsession with the 2-percent inflation” is a “huge mistake.”

Kovacevich pointed out that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell “admits that there’s been very little increase in wages.”

Wages have increased — up 2.6 percent in April year over year. But that number is still lower than the previous 12-month period where wage growth increased 2.7 percent.

“We’re now in a situation where there’s been a huge reduction in discretionary income with the consumer,” he said.

Less consumer spending can also lead to a recession.

Instead of talking about 2-percent inflation, Kovacevich said, “we should be talking about stable inflation.”

“I don’t think they should be trying to inflate the economy,” he added.

Still, Kovacevich said “times are reasonably good.”

“If we continue to reduce regulations and keep taxes low and keep inflation controlled, there is no reason why this expansion can’t continue,” he said.

The Fed anticipates that the economy will also continue on its current accelerated trajectory: The Fed anticipates economic growth to hit 2.8 percent for the full year and unemployment to fall to 3.6 percent.

A recession may not be imminent, but Kelly said there are some things investors can do to protect their portfolios in the meantime.

While he said it was “fashionable” to pull back from international stocks at present, he also said market watchers should consider international stocks as a long-term investment.

“If I was going to be very tactical, I would be overweight U.S.,” he said. “I would certainly be level weight U.S. relative to international right now.”

“But long-term, I’d want to have a little bit more of an overweight toward international, as the rest of the world will grow faster in the long run than we do, both in terms of economic growth and earnings,” Kelly said.

WATCH: The market’s reaction to the Fed’s decision

Source: cnbc economy
'This economy will slow' in mid-2019 or 2020: J.P. Morgan strategist

Comments are closed.