Homepage / Currency / 'This economy will slow' in mid-2019 or 2020: J.P. Morgan strategist
Menyelami Dunia Slot Thailand: Keseruan dan Peluang Kemenangan Besar Menyelami Dunia Slot Thailand: Pengalaman Bermain yang Tak Terlupakan Maturesforfuck analysis UPDATED 2023 | casino milyon1’ýn En Kazançlý ve Cazip Slot Oyunlarý Chat with japanese women – find your perfect match now Enjoy enjoyable & exciting online conversations Pin Way Up Turkey Online Casino Resmi Sitesi Giriş Ve Kayıt Pin-up Casino Resmi Internet Sitesi Online Casinoda Gerçek Parayla Oynayın Could It Possibly Be Smart To Pick Up Girls On Facebook? | Dating Logic Meet singles whom love to have fun Enjoy a safe and protected dating experience on our platform Pin-up Casino Türkiye Sobre İyi Canlı On Line Casino Oyunları Ve Position Makineleri Girişi Sabitle Resmi Pin Up Casino Web Sitesinde Oynayın Kumarhaneler-pinup O Melhor Cassino E Apostas Esportivas Do País E Do Mundo ᐈ Pin-up Join our bbw adult site and start your dating journey today Mengetahui Jenis-Jenis Permainan yang Tersedia di Royale168 Jogar͏ Collision Slot Aviator No Casino Online͏ Pin-up How to find cougar women – guidelines and tricks what exactly is a black cougar woman? Бесплатные Онлайн-слоты Играйте В Оригинальные Слоты Gaminator Онлайн Um Líder No Mundo Perform Entretenimento De Jogos De Apostas Бесплатные Онлайн-слоты Играйте В Оригинальные Слоты Gaminator Онлайн Leon Online Casino Έως 1 500 Ανά Κατάθεση! Get to learn other gay males inside area Онлайн-казино остальной Лучшие%2C Рейтинг%2C Топ-10 В 2024 году Enjoy an incredible dating experience with beautiful bisexual women 1win Apostas E Cassino On-line No Brasil Web-site Oficial Najlepsze Kasyna Z Blikiem 2024 Игровые Автоматы Играть бесплатно И Без Регистрации В Казино Онлайн A couple of things to learn about Online Dating – MeetKing Website Basaribet’ýn En Popüler ve Kar Getiren Slotlarý Slotcatalog ᐈ Ne Oynanır? Nerede Oynanır? 1win Ci: Découvrir Votre Experience De Rome Et Jeux Inégalée “”1win Uzbekistan ⬅️ Rasmiy Sayti Bukmekerlik Kompaniyasining Al Afrah Plastic-type Product Trading” Casino Oyun Masası: Rulet & Blackjack How To Locate Swingers and Fulfill These – 27 Items You Should Be Aware Of  – The Woman Standard Unlocking the Mysteries of Online Psychic Analysis Aplikacja Total Casino Jak Pobrać? Total Casino Blog 1win Within Contrast In Order To Manage To Helsinki Reds » Quotations, Odds, Friendly Evaluations & Stat Blog Nouveaux Casinos Sur Internet Leading 15 Casinos Sobre France 2024 Australian No Deposit Bonus Casino Codes: Clean List 2024 Новые Игровые Автоматы И Слоты Играть Бесплатно И без Регистрации В Новинки 2024 Игровые Автоматы в Деньги С Выводом Играть Онлайн а Лучшие Слоты Игровые Автоматы в Деньги С Выводом Играть Онлайн а Лучшие Слоты 2024’te Yatırımsız Bonus Veren Siteler Listesi Join our mexican dating services & take pleasure in the journey of love +4770 Slot Gratis Senza Scaricare Ottobre 24 2024’ün En Cazip Bahis Siteleri ve Kazanç Sağlama Yolları “Gambling & Online On Line Casino Site Login Slot Oyunları İçin En İyi Bonus Seçenekleri dec (5838) Bahis Stratejileriyle Gelirinizi Katlamanın İpuçları “1win Официальный Сайт Букмекера 1вин Идеальный выбор Для Ставок а Спорт И Онлайн-игр 1win Sportsbook Log In To 1win Betting And Obtain Your Sports Bonus Start dating a milf and revel in a fun, exciting relationship Игровые Автоматы Онлайн Бесплатно и Без Регистрации%2C ото Крупнейших Провайдеров Cassinopix é confiável? Veja a nossa análise completa 333Bet é confiável? Paga mesmo? En İyi Bahis Siteleri Türkiye’de Güvenilir ve Kazandıran Siteler 2021 Yılında En İyi Bahis Siteleri – Güvenilir ve Kazançlı Türkçe Bahis Siteleri Best Real Money On-line Casinos In Australia 2024 Play In Au$ Best Online Internet Casinos Canada 2024: Top Ten Casino Sites With Regard To Ca Players Pin Up Deposit 1win How To Down Payment And Withdraw Money From Your Account Meet your ideal millionaire sugar daddy – here is how “l’armée Ivoirienne Attaquée Par La France”: Comment Une Fausse Information A Émergé En Côte D’ivoire” Cazip Deneme Bonusları ile Oyun Keyfini Artır Exploring the planet for love: what you ought to find out about top international dating sites SecretMilfClub Review in 2021 – Read All of our Scam Report! – RomanceScams.org Glory Casino Login In Addition To Registration Instructions Intended For Bangladesh Users The features of dating an older guy for younger women O Melhor Cassino E Apostas Esportivas Do Brasil ᐈ Pin-up Yüksek Kazançlı Bahis Stratejileri: Bonus Kullanımının Önemi Hoşgeldin Bonusları ile Bahis Oyunlarında Kazanç Sağlama “azərbaycanda Onlayn Kazino Pin Up Pin Up Slot Machine Game Maşınları” AsianDating Evaluation (2023) – The Very Best Or Overrated Asian Website “sprawdź Najszybciej Wypłacalne Kasyna Online W Polsce 2024 “”1win Uzbekistan ⬅️ Rasmiy Sayti Bukmekerlik Kompaniyasining Al Afrah Plastic-type Product Trading” 1win Официальный Сайт Букмекерской Конторы 2023 Онлайн Ставки в Спорт%2C Вход и Бк 1вин одним Find your perfect match with your comprehensive dating reviews Find love and friendship with an asian american dating app “Wagering & Online Online Casino Site Login Enjoy the many benefits of the meet asian singles app – test it today Los 10 Mejores Internet Casinos Online Para Argentinos 2024 Nouveaux Casinos Sur Internet 2024 Comparatif Des Top 7 Casinos En France Hướng dẫn chơi slot game tại casino HappyLuke HappyLuke Casino Trực Tuyến Get prepared to have the full time of one’s life dec (5827) Opening the Mysteries of Tarot Card Reading absolutely free The Ultimate Overview to Comprehending All Tarot Cards The Fascinating Globe of Tarot Cards Choose a Tarot Card Card: A Comprehensive Guide The golden state Psychics: A Comprehensive Guide The Power of Online Tarot Free Readings Unlocking the Mysteries of Free Psychic Tarot Card Reading The Ultimate Overview to Online Tarot Readings Vedic Numerology Calculator: Exploring the Ancient Scientific Research of Numbers The Ultimate Overview to Online Tarot Card Readings Numerology Number Calculator: Opening the Tricks of Your Life Course The Art of Tarot Cards Online The Fascinating World of Tarot Cards Online Free The Remarkable Globe of Tarot Card Reading Cards

Currency

'This economy will slow' in mid-2019 or 2020: J.P. Morgan strategist

The party might be over soon for the 9-year-long bull market, J.P. Morgan strategist David Kelly told CNBC.

“This economy will slow [in the] second half of 2019, 2020,” Kelly, who is chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said Wednesday on “Power Lunch.”

After President Donald Trump signed into law the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 last December — slashing the corporate tax rate nearly in half — rising economic activity seemed to have no end in sight.

“Fiscal policy is sort of at its maximum accelerated right now,” Kelly said.

In fact, unemployment rates have fallen to an 18-year historic low of 3.8 percent, and U.S. nonfarm payrolls added 223,000 — far more than economists anticipated — during the last jobs report in May.

Even escalating trade tensions and higher oil prices haven’t stopped the Dow Jones industrial average, a major indicator of economic activity, from setting record highs, now holding steady above the 25,000 mark.

But Kelly said these effects are “probably temporary.”

“We got all this sugar rush of fiscal stimulus right now,” he said. “But it’s a sugar rush.”

While Kelly said present earnings are “wonderful,” he also said his firm does not expect continued earnings growth.

Investors, he said, “appreciate just how much money companies are making this year. I just think we really need to recognize that the earnings are being front-loaded here.”

He pointed out that equity investing is “all about future earnings growth.”

“Right now the U.S. is leading the world,” he said.

But, he said, “When the rest of the world catches up, I expect international stocks to outperform U.S. stocks over the next few years.”

On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced a rate hike of its benchmark short-term interest rate a quarter percentage point to a new range of 1.75 percent to 2 percent. The bank also indicated that further rate hikes will likely be ahead for a total of four rate hikes this year, compared with three rate hikes in the prior 12-month period.

The central bank’s rate hikes have long been viewed as a way for the Fed to slow economic growth before the economy overheats.

Kelly said the rate hikes are a positive sign and that it is important for the Fed to get the economy “back to neutral pretty fast” so it doesn’t overheat.

“But we don’t want to be too aggressive here because we know monetary policy works with a lag,” he said.

Inflation is another key ingredient in recessions. While fewer people out of work is a good thing, it also means companies have higher payroll expenses. That often leads to companies raising prices. More rate hikes could lead to inflation.

During Wednesday’s Fed announcement, the committee indicated that core inflation should reach the Fed’s 2 percent target by the end of the year.

On “Closing Bell” Wednesday, former Wells Fargo CEO Richard Kovacevich said, “the Fed’s obsession with the 2-percent inflation” is a “huge mistake.”

Kovacevich pointed out that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell “admits that there’s been very little increase in wages.”

Wages have increased — up 2.6 percent in April year over year. But that number is still lower than the previous 12-month period where wage growth increased 2.7 percent.

“We’re now in a situation where there’s been a huge reduction in discretionary income with the consumer,” he said.

Less consumer spending can also lead to a recession.

Instead of talking about 2-percent inflation, Kovacevich said, “we should be talking about stable inflation.”

“I don’t think they should be trying to inflate the economy,” he added.

Still, Kovacevich said “times are reasonably good.”

“If we continue to reduce regulations and keep taxes low and keep inflation controlled, there is no reason why this expansion can’t continue,” he said.

The Fed anticipates that the economy will also continue on its current accelerated trajectory: The Fed anticipates economic growth to hit 2.8 percent for the full year and unemployment to fall to 3.6 percent.

A recession may not be imminent, but Kelly said there are some things investors can do to protect their portfolios in the meantime.

While he said it was “fashionable” to pull back from international stocks at present, he also said market watchers should consider international stocks as a long-term investment.

“If I was going to be very tactical, I would be overweight U.S.,” he said. “I would certainly be level weight U.S. relative to international right now.”

“But long-term, I’d want to have a little bit more of an overweight toward international, as the rest of the world will grow faster in the long run than we do, both in terms of economic growth and earnings,” Kelly said.

WATCH: The market’s reaction to the Fed’s decision

Source: cnbc economy
'This economy will slow' in mid-2019 or 2020: J.P. Morgan strategist

Comments are closed.