Homepage / Currency / Turkey’s Erdogan might not be as untouchable as we all think
Menyelami Dunia Slot Thailand: Keseruan dan Peluang Kemenangan Besar Menyelami Dunia Slot Thailand: Pengalaman Bermain yang Tak Terlupakan How To Locate Swingers and Fulfill These – 27 Items You Should Be Aware Of  – The Woman Standard Aplikacja Total Casino Jak Pobrać? Total Casino Blog Nouveaux Casinos Sur Internet Leading 15 Casinos Sobre France 2024 Australian No Deposit Bonus Casino Codes: Clean List 2024 Новые Игровые Автоматы И Слоты Играть Бесплатно И без Регистрации В Новинки 2024 Игровые Автоматы в Деньги С Выводом Играть Онлайн а Лучшие Слоты Игровые Автоматы в Деньги С Выводом Играть Онлайн а Лучшие Слоты 2024’te Yatırımsız Bonus Veren Siteler Listesi Join our mexican dating services & take pleasure in the journey of love +4770 Slot Gratis Senza Scaricare Ottobre 24 2024’ün En Cazip Bahis Siteleri ve Kazanç Sağlama Yolları Slot Oyunları İçin En İyi Bonus Seçenekleri Bahis Stratejileriyle Gelirinizi Katlamanın İpuçları Start dating a milf and revel in a fun, exciting relationship Cassinopix é confiável? Veja a nossa análise completa 333Bet é confiável? Paga mesmo? En İyi Bahis Siteleri Türkiye’de Güvenilir ve Kazandıran Siteler 2021 Yılında En İyi Bahis Siteleri – Güvenilir ve Kazançlı Türkçe Bahis Siteleri Best Real Money On-line Casinos In Australia 2024 Play In Au$ Best Online Internet Casinos Canada 2024: Top Ten Casino Sites With Regard To Ca Players Pin Up Meet your ideal millionaire sugar daddy – here is how “l’armée Ivoirienne Attaquée Par La France”: Comment Une Fausse Information A Émergé En Côte D’ivoire” Cazip Deneme Bonusları ile Oyun Keyfini Artır Exploring the planet for love: what you ought to find out about top international dating sites SecretMilfClub Review in 2021 – Read All of our Scam Report! – RomanceScams.org Glory Casino Login In Addition To Registration Instructions Intended For Bangladesh Users The features of dating an older guy for younger women Yüksek Kazançlı Bahis Stratejileri: Bonus Kullanımının Önemi Hoşgeldin Bonusları ile Bahis Oyunlarında Kazanç Sağlama AsianDating Evaluation (2023) – The Very Best Or Overrated Asian Website 1win Официальный Сайт Букмекерской Конторы 2023 Онлайн Ставки в Спорт%2C Вход и Бк 1вин одним Find your perfect match with your comprehensive dating reviews Find love and friendship with an asian american dating app “Wagering & Online Online Casino Site Login Enjoy the many benefits of the meet asian singles app – test it today Los 10 Mejores Internet Casinos Online Para Argentinos 2024 Nouveaux Casinos Sur Internet 2024 Comparatif Des Top 7 Casinos En France Hướng dẫn chơi slot game tại casino HappyLuke HappyLuke Casino Trực Tuyến Get prepared to have the full time of one’s life The Ultimate Overview to Online Tarot Card Readings Numerology Number Calculator: Opening the Tricks of Your Life Course The Art of Tarot Cards Online The Fascinating World of Tarot Cards Online Free The Remarkable Globe of Tarot Card Reading Cards Numerology Calculator by Day of Birth: Taking Advantage Of the Power of Numbers Discover Numerology Name by Day of Birth Free Psychic Analysis Online: Your Key to Insight and Assistance Are Tarot Cards Evil? Oyun Kitabı Bahis Bölümü Önerisi – Etkili Bahis Stratejileri ve Taktikleri Oyun Kitabı Bahis Bölümü – Zorlukları ve İpuçları Play 22,546+ Casino Slot Demo Games Водка БЕТ Казино официальный сайт и зеркало Vodka Casino Find your perfect match with quick hookup near me Top 7 Best Lesbian Cougar Internet Dating Sites in 2022 ◉ Sugar Daddy Ireland: Seeking Sugar in IE | SugarDaddySeek Online Kasino & Sportovní Sázení Oficiální Web Melbet Bonusları: Türk Oyuncular İçin En İyileri Roulette In Italiano Situs Slot Judi Bola Casino Online PutriJP Bagaimana Cara Memainkan Slot? 9 Kiat Terbaik Provider Permainan Kasino & Slot Online Terbaik Pragmatic Play Pragmatic Play Slot Mainkan Demo Gratis best name for boy 4718 best name for boy 2378 Purchase Lyrica Online Safely and Discreetly Play Free Slots Online: The Ultimate Overview Play Online Casino Online: Your Ultimate Overview to the Exciting World of Online Gaming Internet Casino Gambling Strategies – Tips To Increase Your Chances Of Winning How to Play for Free Online Mobile Casinos on Mobile Phones Free Gambling Establishment Games Slots: Enjoy the Adventure of Gaming Without Investing a Dime Mejores Casino sites Online que Aceptan Mastercard The Development of Online Gambling Enterprises: An Overview to Genuine Cash Online Gaming How to Detoxification Your Liver: A Full Guide to Improve Liver Health And Wellness Discover the most effective Online Casino Websites for Ultimate Enjoyment When Do You Obtain Your Period on Contraceptive Pill? Play Roulette Online Free: A Complete Guide Do Any Kind Of Online Casinos Approve Bitcoin? Free Dime Slots Online: Your Ultimate Overview to Playing and Winning Ideal Online Casinos that Approve Mastercard Deposits The Safest Online Online Casino: Making Certain a Secure Gaming Experience No Wagering Casino Incentives: A Game-Changer for Online Gaming DMSO Cream: A Functional Solution for Various Ailments Exactly How to Decrease High Blood Pressure: A Comprehensive Guide Top Online Casinos that Approve Neteller Deposits Online Gambling Establishments Accepting Mastercard: A Comprehensive Guide Finest Mobile Online Casino Site: The Ultimate Overview Live Casino Site Online: The Ultimate Overview The Power of Psychic Analyses Bier Haus Fruit Machine Online Free: A Fun and Thrilling Experience Why Do Blood Vessels Look Blue? What is Mometasone Furoate Cream Made Use Of For? Open the Keys of Numerology with a Free Numerology Calculator The Ultimate Overview to Online Tarot Card Readings Numerology Calculator: Opening the Mysteries of Figures Opening the Keys of Online Free Tarot Analysis Online Online Casinos with Neteller: A Convenient and Secure Settlement Option Online Gambling Enterprises That Accept Bitcoin: A Comprehensive Overview A Guide to Finding Online Casino Bonus Money

Currency, United States Finance

Turkey’s Erdogan might not be as untouchable as we all think

Recep Tayyip Erdogan won another term in office and gained far-reaching powers, but analysts believe the election has left the Turkish president looking more vulnerable than before.

Erdogan won 52.5 percent of the vote in the snap election that took place on Sunday, with the main opposition candidate Muharrem Ince getting 30.6 percent, state news agency Anadolu said.

Turnout was a high 88.1 percent and the result shows that Erdogan’s “brand” of populism, nationalism and conservative religious values remain robust. Yet the election showed a strengthening of the opposition, particularly for Ince. While Erdogan’s popularity endured, he failed to gain an outright majority and analysts said he faces challenges on the economic and societal front.

“I guess we all forgot the number one rule of Turkish politics — never bet against Erdogan. And despite a campaign which was heavily weighted in favor of the ruling party (with the state media giving him 90 percent plus of media coverage), he took a chance calling the election early, campaigned with vigor and won,” Timothy Ash, senior emerging markets sovereign strategist at BlueBay Asset Management, said in a note Monday.

“I guess the fact that he won, despite the best campaign fought by the opposition in 16 years, just underlines the dominance of the AKP (The Justice and Development Party) and Erdogan’s personal brand,” he added.

Despite improvements to Turkey’s economy and living standards, Erdogan has been seen by his critics as increasingly authoritarian, having increased his power and influence in Turkey since he became prime minister in 2003, and president from 2014. Notably, he has challenged Turkey’s secular roots, cracked down on political opponents and the free media. An unsuccessful coup in 2016 saw hundreds of thousands of officials, academics and opponents imprisoned and a state of emergency declared.

Last year, Turkish citizens narrowly approved the changing of the country’s constitution, granting extensive powers to the president that he said would prevent instability.

The changes, ushered in with Sunday’s vote, mean there will no longer be a prime minister and Erdogan will become the “executive president,” both head of state and head of the government. He can now appoint ministers, officials and judges at will, can dissolve parliament, intervene in the country’s judicial system and impose a state of emergency. His opponents say the changes will create “one-man rule” in Turkey but Erdogan’s opponents, Ince especially, will take comfort that voter support for them was robust.

A parliamentary election held at the same time as the presidential election Sunday could actually herald less power for Erdogan, however, as his AKP party lost its majority. Gaining 295 seats in the 600-seat parliament, it will now be reliant on the support of its junior coalition partner, the Nationalist Movement Party, which gained 49 seats and gave the alliance an overall majority in Turkey’s Grand National Assembly.

“The AKP lacks a majority — and is now dependent on the largely secular/nationalist MHP. Its leader Devlet Bahceli will exert disproportionate influence, and Erdogan will have to tread carefully,” Ash noted.

The main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), allied with Ince, won 146 seats. Although it won far less seats than the AKP, analysts are noting that many voters have rallied around Ince, giving the opposition a boost. The pro-Kurdish HDP party also took 11.6 percent of the vote, passing the 10 percent threshold to enter Parliament. The result has been seen as impressive given the party’s presidential candidate Selahattin Demirtas had to campaign from prison.

Erdogan’s entrenched opposition toward the Kurdish community (the largest ethnic minority in Turkey), who want greater political and cultural rights, shows no signs of changing.

Similarly, analysts say that economic problems faced by the country — the lira’s depreciation, the budget deficit, inflation at 12 percent and fears that Erdogan (who wants the central bank to lower interest rates to promote growth) could threaten the bank’s independence – could be put on the back burner as a less-confident Erdogan remains in office.

George Dyson, a Turkey analyst at consultancy Control Risks, said Monday that the outlook for Erdogan was not as rosy as it seemed from the election result.

“Further political instability is expected in Turkey despite a convincing victory for the incumbent Erdogan amid growing economic problems and widening societal tensions,” Dyson said in a note Monday.

“Erdogan was rattled by the opposition campaign and will work hard ahead of local elections in March 2019 to maintain support,” he added, a sentiment echoed by Ian Bremmer, the head of political analysis firm Eurasia Group.

Bremmer said the result was bad news for any resolution to the Kurdish problem and was also a challenge for any constructive turn in relations with the West.

“Erdogan also won’t feel confident enough to push through necessary structural reforms or go through fiscal consolidation ahead of March 2019 local elections, particularly at a time when the country will be experiencing an economic slow-down. Not much upside for this one, I’m afraid,” Bremmer said in a note Monday.

Source: cnbc
Turkey’s Erdogan might not be as untouchable as we all think

Comments are closed.