Homepage / Investment / Trump's market cheerleading tweets could end up fueling a bubble
Лучшие тайтлы онлайн казино леон: топ новинок Picking a gaming platform 7Slots in the virtual space for real cash gaming: essential characteristics Meet other lesbianas and discover your perfect match Аркада Казино (Arkada Casino) Игровой Онлайн Клуб How To Locate The Very Best Transgender Online Dating Sites – Hookup Guide Find your perfect match: bi ladies seeking couples SLOT PULSA SITUS SLOT DEPOSIT PULSA 10 RIBU TANPA POTONGAN SEKALI SPIN MAXWIN Sports Betting Bet on Sports Online in South Africa Slot Entertainment Without Funding an Account in a Trusted Virtual Club Составление обзора казино в виртуальном формате Le Jeu en Ligne en France: Casinos en Ligne et leur Rфle dans l’Industrie Moderne des Jeux d’Argent Mostbet App A Convenient And Reliable Way To Place Bets Masjid Al-Huda Mranggen Demak Lemon Casino recenzja nowego polskiego kasyna Atrakcyjne bonusy i wysoki RTP! MostBet Bangladesh BD ᐉ Official Site Most Bet Casino and Sport Betting Lil Nas X calls out the BET Awards in his new single He has a point : NPR Most readily useful Adult Internet Dating Sites | FreeHookupsSites Unlocking the secrets of craigslist m4m green bay dating Just what comes in 66 sizes and vegan latex? Brand new generation of condoms | Sex | 8 Brands & Generics Human Growth Hormone HGH Injections Find local black hookups near you what’s ssbbw chat? About Japanese Dating society and also the west Guy who would like to Date a Japanese woman – MeetKing Blog 9 Guidelines On How To Hook-up On College Gameday (At Any College) Leading Live Casino Games Provider Leading Live Casino Games Provider Pin Up Slotlarýyla Eðlence ve Para Kazanma Bir Arada The core concept of digital entertainment hub AbeBet: signature points and groups Live-сессии с дилерами в онлайн-казино azino777 How Online Gambling Enterprises Operate Around the World Meet compatible single mothers and exchange ideas official site Play airplane online Ritalin: Jak legálně zakoupit bez receptu v České republice Connect with suitable asian singles in your area How-to Date A Pornstar While Making It Operate (The Ultimate Guide) Buy Bitcoin with Credit Card or Debit Card Instantly Buy Bitcoin How to buy BTC Finding trans girls near you – the simplest way to hookup Connect with like-minded singles on a mennonite dating website Assortment of in-demand games respected casino platform abe bet casino in cyberspace Connect with girls from round the world Alexander Gambling establishment: Dйcouvrez une Nouvelle Expйrience de Jeu en Ligne Le meilleur Extra casino en ligne pour jouer BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING The simplest way to get a local hookup what’s millionairess dating? Get prepared to connect to latinas whom share your interests Estonian Chat place – an ideal Place for Dating Estonian Singles Join our bisexual chat room now and commence connecting Discover the advantages of dating a mature mom latina How to discover the best bbw hookup app for you Title: Juega en 1Win Casino Argentina Bonos y Apuestas 5 Best BBW Lesbian Dating Apps/Sites In 2022 Online Gambling Review submissions dia govt.nz Разыгрываемые джекпоты в виртуальном клубе Вулкан казино 30 Of The Greatest Adult Sex Toys For Males | Men’s Room Health Mag Australian Continent Cazino 7 slots cyberspace: conditions and rules for betting with real cash 1Win: ¡el mejor lugar de casino y apuestas deportivas de Argentina! Aufcasino Kde zakoupit Stromectol online: Kompletní průvodce ????Mature Dating Evaluation 2023 – Whatever You Need To Know About It! ???? Take the first step towards fulfilling your ebony lesbian bbw match now Ideas on how to come-out: Tips to keep in mind > Taimi Meet your perfect match – granny hookup site Türkiye-Çin İşbirliği Derinleşiyor GuGi Mobil Yükleme Seçenekleri Hizmet İçi Eğitim Sona Erdi Dooball tv ดูบอล ออนไลน์ สด 66 ลิงค์ บนมือถือ ฟรี ภาพชัด HD ทั่วโลก Find your rich cougar date in the most useful dating site Find your dream fat girl hookup today Slot Thailand Daftar Link Situs Slot Gacor Maxwin x500 Terbaru Hari Ini Resmi Auto Jackpot! Konsultasi ke Dewan Pers, Komisi I DPRD Jambi Pertanyakan Indeks Kemerdekaan Pers Jambi yang Turun Akses News Cerita Korban Judol di Balikpapan yang Nekat Gelapkan Uang How to get local horney women in your area 3 Cara Hapus Akun Judi Online Slot : Okezone Economy SITUS TOTO > Sering Kalah Main Di Situs Slot Gacor Terbaru Mudah Maxwin Situs Slot Gacor Maxwin Main Tanpa Pola Modal 5ribu Terbaik Melhores cassinos online de Novembro 2024: Confira o top 10! Enjoy amazing gay sex experiences using the top sites on the web Make the absolute most of one’s big butt dating adventure here 9 circumstances this means when a person avoids eye contact with a lady – Hack Spirit Top Greatest M4M Personals Sites in 2022 ◉ BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING Лотерейные розыгрыши в kasino on-line Лев казино: условия осуществления и доступа Main features of playing in machines at online-club Karavan Connect with like-minded females making new friends Comment accéder à des jeux gratuits avec Space fortuna bonus ? PUCUK4D⭐ Bandar Toto Togel Online & Situs Toto 4d Terpercaya #1 Betting site Karavan bet Gates of Olympus internet-based: benefits of playing for real money Discover an environment of opportunities with lesbian and bisexual dating Aprovecha Los Códigos Promocionales De Bbrbet ¡más Bonos, Más Juegos 1xbet Giriş Yeni Adresi 2024 ⭐️ 1xbahis Güncel Adres » 1x Guess Mobil Casino How to get started with sext room BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING BLACK SEO LINKS, BACKLINKS, SOFTWARE FOR MASS BACKLINKING

Investment

Trump's market cheerleading tweets could end up fueling a bubble

Financial markets have endured many bubbles over the centuries, from tulip mania in the 17th century to the dotcom bubble and, most famously, the real estate bubble that nearly capsized the global economy a decade ago.

But the Presidential Twitter Bubble?

No one in his position has ever talked up the stock market as much as Donald Trump, and it’s worth considering, with the president nearing the anniversary of his first year in office, whether the Oval Office cheerleading is contributing to a historically relentless boom on Wall Street.

“A president can create an environment that is business friendly and talk about it. What we saw was he talked about it and it did come to fruition,” said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial. “The president has been explicitly clear about what he wanted to achieve: deregulation, tax cuts and an environment that is friendly to business. That is a key ingredient for markets.”

The question for investors is when it goes too far.

Stocks have been on a relentless tear since Trump won the presidency in November 2016. The Dow Jones industrial average, a popular if narrow measure of market performance, is up about 43 percent and has continued to knock down records on a regular basis.

The problem with such rallies — Wall Streeters are cautious about using the term “bubble” until, of course, the bubble pops — is that they’re lots of fun when on the way up and terrifying when they head in the other direction.

“The higher a market goes without a meaningful pullback, the deeper the fall it finally does happen. Something will come along to pierce this market’s enthusiasm,” Krosby said. “If you’re going to live by the stock market moving higher, you also have to be prepared to suffer the wrath when the market does pull back.”

Despite the hazards that betting on a constantly rising market inherently entails, Trump has continued to pump up the market as a key measure of economic performance during his administration.

The president last tweeted about stocks on Jan. 13, boasting of a “big day” as the market hit yet another new high.

Making the gains all the more stunning is that they come amid ever-escalating tensions on Capitol Hill that could yet lead to a government shutdown. That’s aside from worries about nuclear war with North Korea, a hot-again battle over immigration, and as Trump faces a moribund approval rating that has been inversely correlated to economic growth and the stock rally.

“We’ve never seen a market that has been so divorced from the chaos and ongoing circus in Washington, so laser-focused on what’s fundamentally better,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley FBR. “A strong fundamental backdrop seems to have taken the front burner and everything that in another place and time would have adversely affected us gets pushed to the back burner.”

So if it’s true that fundamentals are behind the market’s willingness to discard headline risk, the argument that Trump is adding hot air to a bubble loses some steam. Unless …

“At some point in time that won’t be the case,” Hogan said. “When that does happen, it’s something that’s not fundamental and can’t be modeled, like leaving Nafta or tweeting our way into a trade war.”

Short of that, the market’s willing to ride out the political warfare in Washington and watch Trump’s tweets with an amusement foreign to much of the outside world, where pitched battles over the president’s indelicate speech flood the airwaves on a daily basis.

In fact, investors have shown considerable willingness to tolerate and even thrive under political chaos over the years. The Philadelphia Fed even tracks partisan conflict on an index. The chart below shows an overlay of the index — spikes represent heightened tension — with the performance of the S&P 500.

“Gridlock-is-good at times helps to explain why partisan conflict has not been a negative for the market,” said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. “There’s just such a momentum force in the markets now that participants are willing to look past all the concerns that are out there.”

Those who worry the market is in a bubble cite a number of factors, in particular elevated valuation, generational highs in sentiment and the flood of money pouring into stock-based funds.

One of those concerns as well is that the president himself, despite being the market’s biggest cheerleader, could also be its downfall should one of his rants go awry.

“We would never attempt to say what we think ultimately will be the catalyst. Fill in the blank: A tweet that goes beyond the bizarre bounds we already have experienced? Who knows?” Sonders said. “It’s hard to judge which one of these things, or a collection of things, becomes a trigger.”

“What always happens is at some point we do get some trigger or catalyst for a selloff in the market,” she added. “You look back and say, ‘How did we not figure out that was coming?'”

WATCH: Trump’s action on trade is one of the key issues the market will be watching.

Source: Investment Cnbc
Trump's market cheerleading tweets could end up fueling a bubble

Comments are closed.