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Amazon says this Prime Day was its biggest shopping event ever Kudlow says President Trump is 'so dissatisfied' with China trade talks that he is keeping the pressure on As stocks regain their footing, an ominous warning looms Goldman Sachs downgrades Clorox to sell, says valuation is 'unsustainably high' How Satya Nadella has spurred a tripling of Microsoft's stock price in just over four years Kudlow says economic growth could top 4% for 'a quarter or two,' more tax cuts could be coming The one chart that explains Netflix’s stunning comeback US housing starts plunge 12% in June to a nine-month low Aerospace titans Boeing and Airbus top $110 billion in orders at Farnborough Target uses Prime Day to its advantage, logging its 'biggest online shopping day' so far this year Billionaire Marc Lasry sees bitcoin reaching up to $40,000 as it becomes more mainstream and easier to trade These are the 10 US airports where you're most likely to be hacked Amazon shares slightly higher as investors await Prime Day results Wreck of Russian warship found, believed to hold gold worth $130 billion A bullish ‘phenomenon’ in bond market is weeks away from fading, top credit strategist says Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: MS, GOOGL, TXN, UAL, NFLX & more Twitter shares up 50% since late April means most upside priced in, analyst says in downgrade EU fines Google $5 billion over Android antitrust abuse Mortgage applications fall 2.5% as buyers struggle to find affordable homes America may not have the tools to counter the next financial crisis, warn Bernanke, Geithner and Paulson Investors are getting spooked as the risk of a no-deal Brexit rises EU expected to fine Google $5 billion over Android antitrust abuse Ex-FBI chief James Comey urges Americans to vote for Democrats in midterm elections Elon Musk apologizes to British cave diver following baseless 'pedo guy' claim Disney, Comcast and Fox: All you need to know about one of the biggest media battles ever Xiaomi shares notch new high after Hong Kong, mainland China stock exchanges reach agreement The trade war is complicating China's efforts to fix its economy European markets set for a strong open amid earnings; Google in focus Hedge fund billionaire Einhorn places sixth in major poker tournament The biggest spender of political ads on Facebook? 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Investment

The markets this week: Three things to watch as June comes to a close

The second quarter is almost over, and it’s been a good one for stocks. All of the major benchmarks are up strongly over the past three months, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting a gain of nearly 4 percent.

As we head into the final week of the period, investors should be keeping on eye on three things: Banks, health care and economically sensitive stocks like discretionary, materials and industrials. Here is your guide to the next five days:

Republicans are feverishly at work trying to get an Obamacare repeal-and-replace bill together.

An important step happens this week when the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) will “score” the plan, or go through it and determine just how much it will cost and how great an impact the GOP plan will have on coverage for Americans.

There’s no set date for when that will happen, but it’s expected to come early in the week.

Beyond the obvious importance of this, the market has been betting heavily on health care this year. The sector has been the strongest 2017 performer on the S&P 500 with a gain of 16.7 percent, and the best grouping during the second quarter with a rise of 8.2 percent.

Getting health care right has a lot of ramifications and also is likely to be a market mover.

Though the data flow slows towards the end of the month, there’s a lot happening this week, and investors should be paying attention. Fed Chair Janet Yellen speaks Tuesday in London. Per Brett Ryan, senior economist at Deutsche Bank, the central bank chief likely will stress that “while the global economy is far from showing signs of overheating, crisis-level monetary stimulus may be less necessary at this point.” That means more rate hikes ahead.

The financial crisis crushed the global economy nine years ago. Since then, regulators have been trying to prevent a repeat by testing banks every year to make sure they have enough capital on hand to withstand another severe downturn. Last week saw the first phase of that process; this week marks the second phase—and the more important.

The 34 banks involved in the so-called stress tests all appeared to meet the Federal Reserve‘s criteria. On Wednesday, the Fed will reveal its views on those banks’ plans to return money to shareholders, through dividends and buybacks.

Some banks are looking to return more than 100 percent of profits this year — an important landmark that will show that financial institutions are confident enough to start dipping into their cash stockpiles.

The results also are likely to move the market, so stay tuned.

Highlights of the economic reports and Fed speakers on tap for this week:

  • Monday: Durable goods orders, Dallas Fed activity index, San Francisco Fed President John Williams speaks.
  • Tuesday: Consumer confidence, Case-Shiller home prices. Fed speakers include Fed Chair Yellen, Neel Kashkari of Minneapolis, Patrick Harker of Philadelphia and Williams again.
  • Wednesday: Pending home sales
  • Thursday: Final reading of first-quarter GDP
  • Friday: personal income and spending, University of Michigan consumer sentiment report

Investors have a lot to consider: Tech stocks rebounded, financials fell last week (even after the aforementioned stress tests appeared to be pretty positive) and cash has been flocking into international stock markets.

Making sense of it all this week is the esteemed team of Liz Ann Sonders, Brad Sorensen and Jeff Kleintop, three of the top market strategists at Charles Schwab. In particular, they warn of getting suckered in by valuations in foreign markets:

We believe the pullback in both tech and the overall market was healthy and served to correct some overly optimistic sentiment conditions. But temper your enthusiasm for a sharp rebound like we’ve seen in the past. The new variable in the equation is a Fed that is more hawkish than the market in terms of the expected trajectory of rate hikes. This has raised concerns over a possible monetary mistake, given lower inflation. Additionally, valuations are stretched; albeit on stronger earnings growth expected for this and next year. We continue to believe that strong earnings growth, a solid economy, still-low interest rates, and ample global liquidity support current valuations; but urge investors to remain disciplined around strategic asset allocations.

In other words: Watch your back, and have a profitable week!

Source: Investment Cnbc
The markets this week: Three things to watch as June comes to a close

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