Homepage / Currency / There's now a real chance the UK won't get a Brexit deal — here's what that means for markets
Mostbet İncelemesi 2024 » Spor Bahisleri, Giriş & Oyunla Başkanın ilk icraatı işçi kıyımı olmuştur! 719 7slots kumarhane 90 Business Online Solutions What Is a Board Analysis? The Importance of Planning and Programs Development How Board Governance Software Improves Meetings and Governance How to Craft a Successful Board Meeting Reminder Benefits of a Virtual Data Room for Bankruptcy VDR Example for Business Hong Kong ユースカジノの登録方法を初心者にも分かりやすく図解入りで解説 チェリカジ 5 Как быстро пополнить счет в Казино Х в любой валюте Официальный сайт Up X казино и мгновенные игры Paşa Casino Mobil Uygulama 2025 Giriş Üyelik Bonusu Freespin No Deposit Bonus Casino Free Spins In New Zealand What Are The Best Online Casinos For Real Money Pokies And Bonuses In Australia Дэдди Казино официальный сайт Джойказино: информация про официальный сайт Glory Casino giriş için buraya tıkla ve Türkiyede en popüler casino kullanıcısı ol Les Gambling establishments en Ligne en France 2024 200% Reward + 300 Free Rotates LevelUp Internet casino Melbourne En İyi ve Güvenilir Casino Siteleri Canlı Casino Siteleri 2023 Listesi En İyi ve Güvenilir Casino Siteleri Canlı Casino Siteleri 2023 Listesi Le meilleur casino en ligne franзais Extra Casino avec le dйpфt minimal le in addition bas Yeni Casino Siteleri ᐈ Çevrimiçi Kumarhaneler Mart 2024 Les gambling establishments en ligne proposent une grande variйtй de jeux de internet casino gratuits. Türkiye’deki Resmi Web Sitesi Google Play, Türkiye’de kumar oyunlarına izin verecek Her Gün Tatil Olsa ORDU’DA PAZARTESİ GÜNÜ FINDIK FİYATI NASIL? كازينو اون لاين الكازينوهات الممتازة على الإنترنت ألعاب الكازينو المباشرة مينا كازينو العر Google Play, Türkiye’de kumar oyunlarına izin verecek Domain Sorgulama & Domain Fýrsatlarý Canlı Casino Siteleri: 2024 Güvenilir Siteler Seçilmiştir Golden Easter Slot İncelemesi 2024, Demoyu Ücretsiz Oynayın Golden Easter Slot İncelemesi 2024, Demoyu Ücretsiz Oynayın 1xbet Türkiye Giriş Empieza Kayıt 202 Kumar Ve Kumarhaneler Hakkında Pek İlginç 21 Bilgi Kumarhane Doğru Yazımı Nedir? Tdk Ile Kumarhane Kelimesinin Doğru Yazılışı! Mobilbahiste En İyi Kumar Bonusları Ve Kazançlar Mobilbahis Giriş Sayfası On Line Casino Siteleri En Iyi Casino Siteleri 2024 Mostbet: Türkiye’de Internet Casino Mostbet Online Slotlar Ve Canlı-casin Pin Up Casino Oyna Türkiye, Pinup’un Sah Web Sites Ifade Haberleri Son Dakika Ifade Hakkında Güncel Haber Ve Bilgiler “önceliğimiz Transferin Önünü Açmak, Görüştüğümüz Yerler Var” On Line Casino Nuh’un Gemisi Deluxe Resort & Spa, Kıbrıs The Benefits of Document Management Bonus Veren Siteler 3 000 Den Fazla Online Oyunu Ücretsiz Oyna En Tehlikeli Kumar Oyunu Ekşi Sözlük Deneme Bonusu Veren Siteler Deneme Bonusu 2024 Explore the Magic of WildCardCity Güvenilir Bahis Siteleri En İyi Kumar Siteleri Balıkesir Triatlonuna Avrupadan Ödül Tricks of the Aviator gambling establishment game by Spribe Çevrim Içi Kumar Siteleri “bonus” Yalanıyla Kandırıyor En Güvenilir Canlı On Line Casino Siteleri Xbetting-tips Com Uncovering the Abundant Tapestry of Ozwin Gambling establishment Evaluating Board Portal Providers Uncovering the Wealthy Tapestry of Ozwin On line casino Electronic Data Area Providers Evaluation Cobra Internet casino: Raising the Australian On the internet Video gaming Practical experience 4 Things to Search for in Safeguarded Cloud Safe-keeping Fastpay On line casino Australia – Simple and No-Taxation Wagering Web page officielle franзaise de Joka Gambling establishment The Software Development Universe Game Woo Internet casino – Enjoy Slot machine games around australia Ostdeutsche Biersorten What Are Virtual Data Rooms? Vitamin D Receptor Polymorphisms Revue du Casino BlackLabel Faktory, kterй ovlivnujн hodnocenн ceskэch online kasin How to Make the Most of Your Web Development Organization and Advertising Efforts L’essor des casinos en ligne en France Boost Meeting Efficiency With Boardroom Technology Developments WildJoker Casino WildCardCity On line casino – Guaranteed Australian Gambling Portal New Post WildCardCity Casino – The Ideal On the internet Gambling establishment within australia Modern Technologies Produce Sharing Documents Online Faster and More Protect Free Virtual Info Room pertaining to Speedy Due Diligence A Review of Data Area Software For people who do buiness Five Board Bedroom Features Which will help You Acquire a More Productive Boardroom Electronic Systems To your Business Understanding Legal Terms and Laws in Today’s World The Laws and Contracts of Hollywood: A Sunset Blvd. Tale Legal Discussion Between Johnny Cash and Antonin Scalia Legal Insights: What Teens Should Know Legal Issues and Exceptions: What You Need to Know Legal Insights and Expert Analysis Celebrity Dialogue: Legal Matters in the 21st Century Famous Personalities Discuss Legal Issues The Boys in the Boat: Legal Advisors and The Quest for Legal Knowledge Understanding Legal Matters: Q&A on Criminal Law, Joint Ventures, and More Enticing Title The Departed: Understanding Basic Work Requirements and Legal Rights Youth Slang Blog Article Legal Insights: A Journey into the World of Law The Ins and Outs of Legal Matters: Everything You Need to Know

Currency, United States Finance

There's now a real chance the UK won't get a Brexit deal — here's what that means for markets

Investors should start preparing for a scenario in which the U.K. does not reach an agreement with the European Union over Brexit, a political analyst told CNBC Tuesday.

The U.K. voted in June 2016 to leave the EU, but the process to leave the bloc has proven long and rich in technical details. No matter what, the departure date has been scheduled for March 29 next year — meaning that negotiators have about six months to conclude negotiations on aspects such as the movement of people and goods across the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland.

Technical details aside, the politics of Brexit are also not helping. David Davis, the chief Brexit negotiator for the U.K., and Boris Johnson, the foreign minister and perhaps the most vocal Brexit supporter, both resigned Monday over differences with the prime minister.

Following both resignations, Theresa May told the U.K. Parliament that preparations for a “no deal” scenario would be stepped up and that lawmakers should prepare for a number of outcomes.

“Markets have been remarkably sanguine about the possibility of a no Brexit scenario and I think they do actually have to start taking it a little bit more seriously now,” Richard Mylles, political analyst at Absolute Strategy, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” Tuesday.

“We’re in a situation where there’s no obvious parliamentary majority for any form of Brexit, which is viable, we’ve got various asymmetric negotiations with the EU-27 (the other countries in the EU), there’s very little flexibility on the EU-27 side … The last 48 hours have shown that essentially the U.K. may be reaching the limits of the concessions that it’s able to make and yet we are still nowhere near a sort of credible, realistic package,” he added.

Goods entering the European customs union from abroad face controls — in total there are 405 checks, with beef going through 22 steps. However, once they are inside the customs union there are no further checks. If the U.K. leaves the customs union then the same controls will be applied to goods originating in the U.K.

“The U.K is not currently subject to any of these controls. However, if we leave the EU without a deal, that will change. This will lead to a significant increase in administration for most goods and a risk of substantial delays at borders,” the British Retail Consortium (BRC) said in a statement at the end of June.

The BRC added that food and beverage products could see the cost of importing from the EU go up by as much as 29 percent and non-food goods could face increases of up to 7 percent in the case of clothing and textiles.

Pricier imported goods could squeeze consumer spending, becoming a drag to the economy. Pricier imported goods could also cut the margins for both businesses depending on European raw materials; and businesses depending on EU consumers. This could ultimately impact the stock market.

There could also be sharp losses for sterling.

“My feeling is that this would be a repeat of the night of the Brexit referendum with GBP falling — perhaps to sub-1.20 against the USD,” Roger Jones, head of equities at London and Capital, told CNBC via email.

“(U.K.-based) international earners would outperform and domestic U.K. stocks would get hit very hard,” Jones also said. This is because domestic companies would suffer from the collapse in the currency, whereas international earners would profit from the appreciation in the dollar,” he added

Roger also noted there would be a sell-off in European markets too, given that EU-based firms would also see their trade links with the U.K. becoming more expensive.

However, some analysts are still confident that Theresa May will overcome the impasse and reach an agreement with the EU.

Karen Ward, chief market strategist for EMEA at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said in an email Monday that “the fragmentation of financial services that would be caused if no deal is reached would raise the cost of capital for European businesses and could disrupt the much needed recovery in the euro zone.”

As a result, she is confident that there will be a deal with the EU before the end of this year — one in which the U.K. and the EU will have a relationship relatively similar to the one they currently have.

“By year-end, the U.K. will have negotiated a relatively soft Brexit. We would expect a broad-based rise in sterling, which will lower U.K. inflation at a time when wage growth is picking up. This would promote an upgrade to the economic outlook heading in to 2019 and most likely a faster pace of rate increases from the Bank of England,” she added.

A new round of Brexit negotiations is due to begin next week.

Source: cnbc
There's now a real chance the UK won't get a Brexit deal — here's what that means for markets

Comments are closed.