Homepage / Investment / Fed could reveal more on its game plan for second half interest rates
Deneme Bonusu Veren Siteler Deneme Bonusu 2024 Explore the Magic of WildCardCity Güvenilir Bahis Siteleri En İyi Kumar Siteleri Balıkesir Triatlonuna Avrupadan Ödül Tricks of the Aviator gambling establishment game by Spribe Çevrim Içi Kumar Siteleri “bonus” Yalanıyla Kandırıyor En Güvenilir Canlı On Line Casino Siteleri Xbetting-tips Com Uncovering the Abundant Tapestry of Ozwin Gambling establishment Evaluating Board Portal Providers Uncovering the Wealthy Tapestry of Ozwin On line casino Electronic Data Area Providers Evaluation Cobra Internet casino: Raising the Australian On the internet Video gaming Practical experience 4 Things to Search for in Safeguarded Cloud Safe-keeping Fastpay On line casino Australia – Simple and No-Taxation Wagering Web page officielle franзaise de Joka Gambling establishment The Software Development Universe Game Woo Internet casino – Enjoy Slot machine games around australia Ostdeutsche Biersorten What Are Virtual Data Rooms? Vitamin D Receptor Polymorphisms Revue du Casino BlackLabel Faktory, kterй ovlivnujн hodnocenн ceskэch online kasin How to Make the Most of Your Web Development Organization and Advertising Efforts L’essor des casinos en ligne en France Boost Meeting Efficiency With Boardroom Technology Developments WildJoker Casino WildCardCity On line casino – Guaranteed Australian Gambling Portal WildCardCity Casino – The Ideal On the internet Gambling establishment within australia Modern Technologies Produce Sharing Documents Online Faster and More Protect Free Virtual Info Room pertaining to Speedy Due Diligence A Review of Data Area Software For people who do buiness Five Board Bedroom Features Which will help You Acquire a More Productive Boardroom Electronic Systems To your Business Understanding Legal Terms and Laws in Today’s World The Laws and Contracts of Hollywood: A Sunset Blvd. Tale Legal Discussion Between Johnny Cash and Antonin Scalia Legal Insights: What Teens Should Know Legal Issues and Exceptions: What You Need to Know Legal Insights and Expert Analysis Celebrity Dialogue: Legal Matters in the 21st Century Famous Personalities Discuss Legal Issues The Boys in the Boat: Legal Advisors and The Quest for Legal Knowledge Understanding Legal Matters: Q&A on Criminal Law, Joint Ventures, and More Enticing Title The Departed: Understanding Basic Work Requirements and Legal Rights Youth Slang Blog Article Legal Insights: A Journey into the World of Law The Ins and Outs of Legal Matters: Everything You Need to Know Legal Insights and Trends: A Rap Guide Mysterious Legal Matters Unveiled Insights and Information: Understanding Various Laws and Regulations Famous People of the 21st Century The Circle of Legal Life The Intersection of Fashion Law, Legal Translation, and THC Oil: A Modern Legal Guide Legal Q&A: Understanding Joinder Federal Rules and More Understanding Legal Terms and Conditions: A Comprehensive Guide Understanding Legal Documentation in a Fun Way! Understanding Legal Aspects: From Islamic Law of Inheritance to Farm Law Protests Understanding Legal Rights: A Guide to Legal Regulations and Requirements Understanding Legal Guidelines and Agreements Famous 21st Century People in Conversation Mysterious Legal Matters Unveiled Legal Matters and Real Estate: A Conversation Between Cameron Boyce and Donald Trump Understanding Legal Expertise and Why It Matters Legal FAQs and Expert Services Understanding Legal Ramifications: Common Law Ontario Health Benefits and More The Ins and Outs of Legal Requirements: From FBI Academy Physical Requirements to Silver Lake Fishing Rules The Legal Underworld: Understanding the Significance of Laws and Rights Legal Conversations: A Dialogue Between Jon Jones and Chadwick Boseman Legal Beats: Bobcats, Real Estate, Babysitting, and More Legal Matters and Netflix VPN Diabolique: Legal Affairs and Deception Ben Shapiro and Eddie Van Halen Discuss Legal Matters Legal Aid and Other Legal Issues Q&A Famous 21st Century Personalities in Dialogue Youthful Blog Post Expert Legal Insights: Top 8 Law Firms in Australia, Quasi Contracts, and More! Youth Slang in Legal Matters Steps to make Your Mother board Room Even more Productive and Meaningful Choosing Data Rooms for Homework The Enigmatic World of Legal Affairs and Contracting The Mystery of Legal Matters Understanding Legal Mandates and Guidelines in the Business World Celebrity Dialogue: Legal Matters and Personal Names Legal Questions: Answered! Mysterious Legal Insights and Tips The Mysterious World of Legal Agreements Legal Lingo: Reviews, Agreements, and More Exploring Legal Education and Responsibilities: A Comprehensive Guide Unconventional Wisdom: A Dialog Between 21st Century Icons Mysterious Legal Matters Unraveled The Legal Maze: Navigating the Legal Landscape Dialogue between Jared Kushner and Vasyl Lomachenko Legal Matters: A Conversation Between Prince and Lionel Messi Get Clued In: The Legal Lowdown for Gen Z Famous People of the 21st Century Talk About Legal Matters The Enigmatic World of Legal Agreements and Terms Are You Breaking the Law? Unusual Legal Questions Answered Understanding Legal Services, Parental Responsibility Laws, and More Understanding Legal Agreements and Requirements


Fed could reveal more on its game plan for second half interest rates

The Federal Reserve could have an impact on trading when it releases the minutes from its last meeting Wednesday afternoon, particularly if it appears confident that it could raise interest rates again this year.

The Fed is also likely to provide some insight into its plan to unwind its $4.5 trillion balance sheet, which many market pros expect to begin in September. The Fed intends to taper back on its practice of replacing Treasurys and mortgages, as the issues it holds mature. Those securities were first purchased as part of the extraordinary easing it used to fight the financial crisis.

But traders were also focused on the fact that Fed speakers and even the European Central Bank have been sending somewhat hawkish messages recently, and the minutes could lean toward those comments.

“It almost seems like a concerted message from people at the Fed about financial conditions being very easy, perhaps too easy,” said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont. “It would be interesting to see if the committee discussed that and what the rhetoric was. …[Janet] Yellen, [Stanley] Fischer, [William] Dudley, each of them talked about financial conditions being easy one way or the other.”

Stanley said Dudley, the New York Fed president, has made it clear if the Fed raises rates, and the markets react, it could slow its hiking. But if markets do not react at all, the Fed could increase its activity, he said.

The Fed minutes, to be released at 2 p.m. ET, are the first in a series of events that could reveal more about Fed policy for the second half of the year. On Friday, the June employment report will be released, and markets are watching the wages data to see if there are any early signs of returning inflation. Later Friday morning, the Fed will release its semi-annual monetary policy report at 11 a.m. ET, five days ahead of Fed chair Yellen’s economic testimony before Congress. Then, the Federal Open Market Committee meets again on July 25 and 26, where it is not expected to take action on interest rates but could reveal more about its intentions.

The markets have doubted the Fed will hike rates for a third time this year, giving just about 50 percent odds for a September rate rise. Analysts are watching the minutes to see if the Fed signals that the recent dip in inflation is temporary and that it is on track to move ahead on interest rates unless the economy softens.

Bond market pros are also looking to see if the Fed will reveal any clues about when it will start tapering back its purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities.

The minutes are from the June 14 meeting when the FOMC raised rates for a second time this year and revealed details on how it intends to gradually begin paring back its balance sheet.

“Right now, many market participants don’t expect a [rate hike] in September,” said Kate Warne, investment strategist at Edward Jones. “Investors are thinking they won’t move unless they get stronger inflation.” She said the Fed could indicate it is willing to discount the downward move in inflation as short-term.

“If the minutes are more hawkish than expected, we would see investors surprised by the minutes. I don’t think that’s likely to be the case. Stocks would probably react negatively and interest rates would continue to rise,” Warne said.

Stocks started out the month of July Monday on an upswing that sent the Dow to new highs, but selling in technology stocks pulled down the Nasdaq. On Wednesday, stocks opened slightly higher, after the July 4 holiday Tuesday. Treasury yields were also higher, and the dollar was firmer, ahead of the release of Fed minutes.

The yield on the 2-year note, the most sensitive to Fed hiking, was at 1.41 percent, after touching 1.426 percent Monday, its highest level since 2009.

“I think the expectations are for the Fed to confirm their tapering intentions,” said Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO.

“I think a September taper has become very consensus,” said Lyngen. “If you see a uniform view reflected within the minutes, I think it’s going to be bearish in the Treasury market because it suggests there will be follow-through with the tapering and hiking. If there’s a divergence, it would be bullish.”

Treasury yields move opposite prices, so a hawkish view would send rates higher.

“I don’t really think they’re going to change the overall tone or direction of the Treasury market,” said Lyngen, adding he would expect the most action in the 5-year note as a reflection of future Fed policy moves. The 5-year yield was at 1.93 percent Wednesday. The 10-year was at 2.34 percent.

“I certainly don’t think we’ll get a rate hike in July, but I do think there’s a chance we’ll get the balance sheet announcement in July,” said Lyngen. “You could make a case for September. My thought is they want to keep the balance sheet discussion separate as much as possible.”

The Fed has said it would pause in its rate hiking when it begins action on its balance sheet. The balance sheet reduction is expected to put slight upward pressure on interest rates.

The Fed said it would cap its tapering back of purchases of Treasurys and mortgages at $10 billion a month, before increasing the cap at three-month intervals. The Fed is not adding to its balance sheet any longer, but it does replace securities it holds as they mature. It is that process that will be “tapered” back.

Source: Investment Cnbc
Fed could reveal more on its game plan for second half interest rates

Comments are closed.