Homepage / Investment / Goldman warns clients about possible global trade war from Trump's tariffs
Mostbet İncelemesi 2024 » Spor Bahisleri, Giriş & Oyunla Başkanın ilk icraatı işçi kıyımı olmuştur! 719 7slots kumarhane 90 Business Online Solutions What Is a Board Analysis? The Importance of Planning and Programs Development How Board Governance Software Improves Meetings and Governance How to Craft a Successful Board Meeting Reminder Benefits of a Virtual Data Room for Bankruptcy VDR Example for Business Hong Kong ユースカジノの登録方法を初心者にも分かりやすく図解入りで解説 チェリカジ 5 Как быстро пополнить счет в Казино Х в любой валюте Официальный сайт Up X казино и мгновенные игры Paşa Casino Mobil Uygulama 2025 Giriş Üyelik Bonusu Freespin No Deposit Bonus Casino Free Spins In New Zealand What Are The Best Online Casinos For Real Money Pokies And Bonuses In Australia Дэдди Казино официальный сайт Джойказино: информация про официальный сайт Glory Casino giriş için buraya tıkla ve Türkiyede en popüler casino kullanıcısı ol Les Gambling establishments en Ligne en France 2024 200% Reward + 300 Free Rotates LevelUp Internet casino Melbourne En İyi ve Güvenilir Casino Siteleri Canlı Casino Siteleri 2023 Listesi En İyi ve Güvenilir Casino Siteleri Canlı Casino Siteleri 2023 Listesi Le meilleur casino en ligne franзais Extra Casino avec le dйpфt minimal le in addition bas Yeni Casino Siteleri ᐈ Çevrimiçi Kumarhaneler Mart 2024 Les gambling establishments en ligne proposent une grande variйtй de jeux de internet casino gratuits. Türkiye’deki Resmi Web Sitesi Google Play, Türkiye’de kumar oyunlarına izin verecek Her Gün Tatil Olsa ORDU’DA PAZARTESİ GÜNÜ FINDIK FİYATI NASIL? كازينو اون لاين الكازينوهات الممتازة على الإنترنت ألعاب الكازينو المباشرة مينا كازينو العر Google Play, Türkiye’de kumar oyunlarına izin verecek Domain Sorgulama & Domain Fýrsatlarý Canlı Casino Siteleri: 2024 Güvenilir Siteler Seçilmiştir Golden Easter Slot İncelemesi 2024, Demoyu Ücretsiz Oynayın Golden Easter Slot İncelemesi 2024, Demoyu Ücretsiz Oynayın 1xbet Türkiye Giriş Empieza Kayıt 202 Kumar Ve Kumarhaneler Hakkında Pek İlginç 21 Bilgi Kumarhane Doğru Yazımı Nedir? Tdk Ile Kumarhane Kelimesinin Doğru Yazılışı! Mobilbahiste En İyi Kumar Bonusları Ve Kazançlar Mobilbahis Giriş Sayfası On Line Casino Siteleri En Iyi Casino Siteleri 2024 Mostbet: Türkiye’de Internet Casino Mostbet Online Slotlar Ve Canlı-casin Pin Up Casino Oyna Türkiye, Pinup’un Sah Web Sites Ifade Haberleri Son Dakika Ifade Hakkında Güncel Haber Ve Bilgiler “önceliğimiz Transferin Önünü Açmak, Görüştüğümüz Yerler Var” On Line Casino Nuh’un Gemisi Deluxe Resort & Spa, Kıbrıs The Benefits of Document Management Bonus Veren Siteler 3 000 Den Fazla Online Oyunu Ücretsiz Oyna En Tehlikeli Kumar Oyunu Ekşi Sözlük Deneme Bonusu Veren Siteler Deneme Bonusu 2024 Explore the Magic of WildCardCity Güvenilir Bahis Siteleri En İyi Kumar Siteleri Balıkesir Triatlonuna Avrupadan Ödül Tricks of the Aviator gambling establishment game by Spribe Çevrim Içi Kumar Siteleri “bonus” Yalanıyla Kandırıyor En Güvenilir Canlı On Line Casino Siteleri Xbetting-tips Com Uncovering the Abundant Tapestry of Ozwin Gambling establishment Evaluating Board Portal Providers Uncovering the Wealthy Tapestry of Ozwin On line casino Electronic Data Area Providers Evaluation Cobra Internet casino: Raising the Australian On the internet Video gaming Practical experience 4 Things to Search for in Safeguarded Cloud Safe-keeping Fastpay On line casino Australia – Simple and No-Taxation Wagering Web page officielle franзaise de Joka Gambling establishment The Software Development Universe Game Woo Internet casino – Enjoy Slot machine games around australia Ostdeutsche Biersorten What Are Virtual Data Rooms? Vitamin D Receptor Polymorphisms Revue du Casino BlackLabel Faktory, kterй ovlivnujн hodnocenн ceskэch online kasin How to Make the Most of Your Web Development Organization and Advertising Efforts L’essor des casinos en ligne en France Boost Meeting Efficiency With Boardroom Technology Developments WildJoker Casino WildCardCity On line casino – Guaranteed Australian Gambling Portal New Post WildCardCity Casino – The Ideal On the internet Gambling establishment within australia Modern Technologies Produce Sharing Documents Online Faster and More Protect Free Virtual Info Room pertaining to Speedy Due Diligence A Review of Data Area Software For people who do buiness Five Board Bedroom Features Which will help You Acquire a More Productive Boardroom Electronic Systems To your Business Understanding Legal Terms and Laws in Today’s World The Laws and Contracts of Hollywood: A Sunset Blvd. Tale Legal Discussion Between Johnny Cash and Antonin Scalia Legal Insights: What Teens Should Know Legal Issues and Exceptions: What You Need to Know Legal Insights and Expert Analysis Celebrity Dialogue: Legal Matters in the 21st Century Famous Personalities Discuss Legal Issues The Boys in the Boat: Legal Advisors and The Quest for Legal Knowledge Understanding Legal Matters: Q&A on Criminal Law, Joint Ventures, and More Enticing Title The Departed: Understanding Basic Work Requirements and Legal Rights Youth Slang Blog Article Legal Insights: A Journey into the World of Law The Ins and Outs of Legal Matters: Everything You Need to Know

Investment

Goldman warns clients about possible global trade war from Trump's tariffs

Goldman Sachs warned its clients that if President Donald Trump does implement a protectionist trade policy, it could start a global trade war and lead to a market drop.

The firm mentioned recent news reports that the administration may be considering tariffs on imports. In the event of a trade conflict, the bank recommends investors buy companies with higher domestic sales exposure.

“We remain constructive on global equity markets and continue to be overweight within our asset allocation on a 12-month horizon. … One potential risk to our central case is that global growth slows, or profits are hit, by increased US tariffs on trade and the possibility of an escalating global trade war,” Goldman’s chief global equity strategist, Peter Oppenheimer, wrote in a note to clients Thursday. “While this is not our expectation, this topic has once again become a focus for markets and could take center-stage at the forthcoming G-20 meeting.”

Oppenheimer is referring to the July 7 to July 8 G-20 summit of leaders of the world’s biggest economies in Hamburg. The G-20 consists of 19 countries plus the European Union, which represent 80 percent of global output.

The strategist said lofty valuations, high corporate profit margins and low volatility are reasons why a trade conflict could spark a larger negative impact for global equities. He cited how the S&P 500’s valuation looks “very stretched” with metrics such as forward price-to-earnings and price-to-book value are near 90 percent historical percentile levels since 1976.

In terms of which markets have the most downside from rising trade tensions, Oppenheimer noted 69 percent of the US companies’ sales are domestic versus 64 percent for Japan and 53 percent for Europe.

“The impact of tariffs would likely be felt most acutely in Asia and Latin America, given the rapid growth in their exports to the US and the high labor content in the production of these exports. However, European equity markets would not be immune,” he wrote.

In terms of specific US sectors, technology stocks with 59 percent of sales overseas and materials companies with 48 percent foreign sales exposure are most at risk, according to the strategist.

“Below the surface of the market, trade conflict would benefit the performance of the most domestic-facing US stocks relative to the most foreign-facing firms,” he wrote.

As result, if a trade war does occur, Oppenheimer recommends the Goldman Sachs “domestic sales” stock basket over the firm’s “international sales” list.

Here are 7 companies in Goldman’s domestic sales basket.

Note: Goldman’s domestic sales basket list is as of Jan. 18, 2017

Source: Investment Cnbc
Goldman warns clients about possible global trade war from Trump's tariffs

Comments are closed.