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Tesla shares to surge because the Model 3 opportunity is ‘underestimated’: analyst

Tesla’s market-crushing performance this year will continue, according to one Wall Street firm.

Baird told its clients the long term opportunity for the company’s recently launched Model 3 is larger than investors think.

“We expect strong demand for the Model 3 and believe the total addressable market will likely be underestimated, but think it will be an ongoing process to ascertain global demand,” analyst Ben Kallo wrote in a note Monday. “Tesla remains one of our top picks for 2017 and we are raising our price target as we continue to believe a successful Model 3 launch will be an inflection point for the stock.”

The electric car maker’s shares are outperforming the market this year. Its shares are up 67.5 percent year to date compared with the S&P 500’s 9 percent return.

The analyst reiterated his outperform rating and raised his price target for Tesla shares to $411 from $368, representing 15 percent upside from Friday’s close.

Kallo estimates the US lower-to-middle priced luxury sedan market is approximately 1 million vehicles a year.

“We think the large US market will support sales of the Model 3, and significant additional opportunities exist internationally,” he wrote.

The analyst cited how Model 3 demand rose to 1,800 new net orders per day since the launch event, according to Tesla. Tesla CEO Elon Musk also said Model 3 demand could reach 700,000 cars per year, Kallo noted.

In addition, Musk is “confident” the company can reach a production level of 10,000 Model 3 vehicles per week at some point next year.

“We continue to believe Tesla Energy may be underappreciated by investors, and think the segment could be as important as the auto business over the long term,” he wrote.

Tesla shares rose 1.9 percent in Monday premarket trading after the call.

— CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this story.

Source: Tech CNBC
Tesla shares to surge because the Model 3 opportunity is ‘underestimated’: analyst

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