Homepage / Currency / The US economy suddenly looks like it's unstoppable
test Users535352253 Due Diligence Blog Digital Data Rooms for the Netherlands Board Room Apps Secure Board Management With Secure Board Portals What Happens at Board of Directors Meetings? Board Room Software Review How to Prepare Board Rooms for Effective Board Meetings Board Room Software Boosts Performance and Communication Selecting a Secure Data Room Review Local Data Room Service Review How to Find the Best Virtual Data Room Review What to Look for in a Data Room uk Provider Document Storage and Distribution Software Everything About VDRs Corporate Software Advantages How to Choose a Virtual Data Room Provider The Most Secure Way to Transfer Files How to Manage Online Board Meetings Benefits Virtual Data Room Solutions – Must-Haves for M&A and Due Diligence Best Data Room Functions for the Different Types of Industries How to Choose a VDR Software Provider How to Choose an Online Board Portal The Benefits of a Boardroom Review Board Room Online Solutions – How to Get the Most Out of Your Board Meetings Why You Need a Board Room How a Board Room Blog Can Transform Your Business Choosing the Best Board Room Format How to Have Productive and Engaging Board Directors Meetings Choosing the Right Virtual Data Room How to Keep Safe Documents Storage Teaching Kids About Online Safety Avoid Costly Mistakes With Free Data Room Services Corporate Virtual Data Secure Online Data Rooms Solutions How to Keep Share, Edit and Delete Your Data Safe Virtual Data Room Software Secrets for M&A Due Diligence What to Look For in Boardroom Providers Board of Directors Blog Posts How to Deliver Value at Your Board Meetings How to Have Effective Board Meetings Responsibilities of Board Members Deal Management – How to Effectively Manage a Complex Sales Pipeline Data Rooms For Mergers And Acquisitions How to Have a Successful Board Room Meeting Choosing a Board Room Service Provider What is a Board Room Service? Board Room Software Review – Choosing the Best Portal for Mother Board Meetings Why a Board Room Providers Review Is Important What Is a Board Room Review? Venture Software for VC Firms What Is an Assessment Report? The Importance of a Tech Audit Popular Business Applications What to Look For in a Data Room App What Are Business Applications? How to Choose a Virtual Data Room How to Plan a Data Room Review Coronavirus Guide What is a Virtual Data Room? What Is Data Science? What Is an Operating System? Turbotax Small Business Review How Online VDRs Are Used in M&A Deals Why Choose VDR Software? The Power of Business Software The Benefits of a Software Board Online Data Room Review The Importance of Tech Knowledge Improving Accuracy of Financial Data Online Business Records – How to Keep Your Online Business Records Accurate and Secure What is a Board Portal De? DealRoom Review – A Review of VDR Software M&A Due Diligence for Private Companies The Virtual Data Room Review Why Companies Use a Data Room Review to Facilitate M&A Transactions The Best File Sharing Services How Online VDRs Are Used in M&A Deals Best Virtual Data Room How to Choose a Best Board Room Provider Choosing a Data Room for Due Diligence What Is a Data Room Business Software? Best Data Room Providers Review Data Room Providers Review Mostbet Tr Resmî Web Sitesinde Giriş Ve Kayıt Olm Kumar Oynamak Için En Iyi Yerdir The Benefits of Cloud Data Services for Enterprises Online Data Room and SSL How to Build a Diverse Board of Directors Best Virtual Data Review A Data Room Service Review How Runn Makes Project Data Accessible, Accurate and Shareable Five Pillars of Information Protection The Importance of Online Business Reports Benefits of Colocation Services Virtual Data Rooms Guide Choosing a Business Virtual Data Room Choosing the Right VDR Service Review How to Conduct a Virtual Data Room Review

Currency

The US economy suddenly looks like it's unstoppable

In the face of persistent fears that the world could be facing a trade war and a synchronized slowdown, the U.S. economy enters June with a good deal of momentum.

Friday’s data provided convincing evidence that domestic growth remains intact even if other developed economies are slowing. A better-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report coupled with a convincing uptick in manufacturing and construction activity showed that the second-half approaches with a tailwind blowing.

“The fundamentals all look very solid right now,” said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC. “You’ve got job growth and wage gains that are supporting consumer spending, and tax cuts as well. There’s a little bit of a drag from higher energy prices, but the positives far outweigh that. Business incentives are in good shape.”

The day started off with the payrolls report showing a gain of 223,000 in May, well above market expectations of 188,000, and the unemployment rate hitting an 18-year low of 3.8 percent.

Then, the ISM Manufacturing Index registered a 58.7 reading — representing the percentage of businesses that report expanding conditions — that also topped Wall Street estimates. Finally, the construction spending report showed a monthly gain of 1.8 percent, a full point higher than expectations.

Put together, the data helped fuel expectations that first-quarter growth of 2.2 percent will be the low-water point of 2018.

“May’s rebound in jobs together with yesterday’s report of solid income growth and the rise in consumer confidence points to the economy functioning very well,” National Retail Federation chief economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a statement. “Solid fundamentals in the job market are encouraging for retail spending, as employment gains generate additional income for consumers and consequently increase spending.”

The most recent slate of widely followed barometers could see economists ratchet up growth expectations.

Already, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker sees the second quarter rising by 4.8 percent. While the measure also was strongly optimistic on the first quarter as well, at one point estimating 5.4 percent growth, other gauges are positive as well. CNBC’s Rapid Update, for instance, puts the April-to-June period at 3.6 percent.

Andrew Hunter, U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said the ISM number alone is consistent with GDP growth of better than 4 percent, though he thinks the second quarter will be in the 3 percent to 3.5 percent range.

“With global growth set to hold up fairly well in the near term, this suggests that manufacturing activity should continue to expand at a solid pace,” Hunter said in a note. “That said, if the Trump administration continues to pursue protectionist policies and provoke retaliation from other countries, the export-focused manufacturing sector would be most exposed.”

Indeed, there are a spate of headwinds still out there, and trade continues to top the list.

The White House’s decision this week to forge ahead with steel and aluminum tariffs stoked fears that the administration could be its own worst enemy on the road to 3 percent-plus growth. While the tariffs themselves are expected to have minimal economic impact on their own, fears remain that they could spark retaliatory measures and, ultimately, an all out trade war.

Exports make up just 12.4 percent of the U.S. economy, but S&P 500 companies generate about 43 percent of their sales internationally. That’s why markets tend to recoil every time the administration saber-rattles about tariffs.

Still, manufacturers remain largely upbeat.

Respondents to the ISM survey released Friday relayed mostly positive sentiments. One typical statement, from an unidentified transportation equipment firm, said, “We are currently overselling our forecast and don’t see an end to the upswing in business,” while noting that “we are very concerned” about the tariff situation and “are focusing on alternatives to Chinese sourcing.”

Others noted price pressures, while an index that tracks order backlogs hit its highest level since April 2004. The pricing index also registered its highest since April 2011, as firms noted that inflationary pressures are building heading into the second half.

That’s consistent with news out of the trucking industry, which is reporting a shortage of drivers amid huge demand for delivery vehicles.

While inflation could prompt more aggressive action in the form of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, PNC’s Faucher sees an economy resilient enough to withstand that and other headwinds.

“The tight labor market is going to lead businesses to invest in capital that makes their workers more productive. Then you’ve got stronger government spending with the increase in discretionary spending caps,” he said. “I think we’ll see growth better than 3 percent in the final three quarters of the year.”

Source: cnbc economy
The US economy suddenly looks like it's unstoppable

Comments are closed.